Other Good Timing Updates

From: Madeline Gerwick-Brodeur [mgb@polarisbusinessguides.com]
Sent: Wednesday, August 02, 2006 1:16 AM
To: Good Timing Update subscribers
Subject: Good Timing Update: Show Time Correction, Economic Update, Fal Prosperity Classes, New Phone System

Heads Up Everyone!

This morning (Wed Aug 2), I’ll be on the radio show Conscious Talk. You can listen via live streaming at www.conscioustalk.net or on the dial at 1150 AM in the Seattle area at approximately 7:44 AM Pacific time. I’ll be talking about those choices between explosions and breakthroughs and fear or faith, since we get these choices a lot this month.

IN THIS UPDATE:

Economic Info from Harry Shultz Newsletter

My Assessment of the Above Newsletter

Announcing Fall Prosperity Training Classes

New Phone System

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Economic Analysis from Harry Shultz Newsletter

 

Peter Brimelow: Harry Schultz suspects market manipulation

Schultz Suspects Market Manipulation;
Veteran Gold Bug Also Worries
About U.S. Recession in 2007

Peter Brimelow
CBSMarketWatch.com
Monday, July 31, 2006

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/Story.aspx?guid=%7B88655570%2D6211...

NEW YORK -- A strong week for stocks, but the top-performing letter isn't buying.

The International Harry Schultz Letter's portfolio has gained up 94.9% over the past 12 months according to the Hulbert Financial Digest, vs. 9.8% for the dividend-reinvested Dow Jones Wilshire 5000.

Schultz hasn't always shown up so well in the Hulbert ratings, although over the past five years his portfolio has appreciated at a 21.31% annualized rate, vs. 4.02% annualized for the DJ Wilshire. But he has been around a long time, nearly four decades.

Schultz's latest letter arrived Sunday night. He offers this acid assessment of the recent rally: "There is a paradox in market prices as I write. We have gold, U.S. dollar, oil, and most stock market indexes all showing a readiness to move up. It is an illogical combo. It may be a temporary fluke or it may be there's manipulation of the indexes going on."

Schultz, never afraid of a radical idea, takes manipulation seriously. He says: "It is fairly easy to manipulate stock indexes via just three or four blue chips, and the multinationals appear in several indexes. We've seen it before. Most stock markets were in virtual free fall and suddenly reversed into reverse head-and-shoulders buy patterns. This is a rarity. The U.S. dollar index may also be subject to manipulation."

His diagnosis: "Some governments are getting desperate re some market action in the face of elections. Painting the tape is an old game."

His diagnosis: "So, monitor all these key market charts to see if something breaks rank and reveals a more "logical" picture."

Schultz is almost completely out of the stock market. He believes the primary bear market that began in 2000 is not over. His suggested portfolio is allocated only 10-15% to non-gold stocks, mainly energy and alternative energy stocks. He's 15-20% in Treasury bills and Treasury bonds, 15-20% in commodities, 20-30% in currencies.

And he has just increased his recommended exposure to gold stocks and bullion to 33-40%.

Schultz is an old gold bug, but he has repeatedly warned that gold bull markets are prone to dramatic breaks. He has a good claim to have caught the last one.

Now he's breathing increasingly easier. Schultz writes: "Gold charts are cautious bullish at press time. Gold is in a mega-symmetrical triangle from the May high. If it breaks upside, as I expect, it'll give a massive buy signal at about $680 basis December gold ... $873 provisional upside target."

Schultz's macro analysis continues to be dark: "The world is on a knife edge between inflation, which often suddenly gets out of control when it passes point X, and deflation, when monetary liquidity suddenly falls behind the X-factor point to keep economies afloat (or triggered by a major debt default or by stock market implosions, e.g. South east Asia markets a few years ago). Being wrongly invested when a "flation-tsunami" hits, can (and often does) slash a portfolio's value by 40% in 72 hours."

Fortunately, says Schultz, gold protects against both "flations," "though it is usually 'relative' in deflation."

Oh , and Schultz thinks there's a 40% chance the United States will go into recession in early 2007, 50% if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to 6%.

My bullish readers won't like this. But, right now, Schultz's statistics are an impressive argument.

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My Assessment of the Above Newsletter

You may recall from the Q1 newsletter that our overall trend for the economy is downward. It will reach the bottom between December 2007 and July 2009. What’s important to know is that while the economy is trending downward, there are hot spots in the economy, areas that are still growing. So while his assessment for a recession in 2007 is correct, this doesn’t mean you can’t still create prosperity for yourself.(See below for tools to do this.) I include this information so you can be alert to the gold situation and continue to put a higher percentage of it into your portfolio. Remember that gold is due to go up next in December 2006 through early January 2007, and it has two more periods when it will go up even more. Next July and October 2007 will be periods when gold will continue to go up. I expect gold to at least double and possibly go higher.

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Announcing Fall Prosperity Training Classes

Are you ready for more money to come to you easily? Solve problems at work easily? Make your work JOY, instead of hard? If so, you’re ready to take our prosperity training program for business people. Designed for owners, managers, sales people, and other workers, Eight Keys to the Ultimately Prosperous Business is a course guaranteed to increase your prosperity or your money back. New classes begin Sept 26th and are taught by telephone. (YES, you just pick up your phone and dial a phone number to be part of the class!)

To learn more, go to http://www.polarisbusinessguides.com/classes/8keys06.htm

Or call us toll free at 877-524-8300.

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New Phone System

Just this week, we’ve installed a new phone system. Our old toll free number stays the same, but we no longer have any extensions. This will make it a LOT easier to call us, as you should get through directly without the long wait to connect to us.

 

Many blessings to all,

Madeline G-B

Soon-to-be "G"


Polaris Business Guides, LLC
Toll free: 877-524-8300
www.polarisbusinessguides.com
mgb@polarisbusinessguides.com

© Madeline Gerwick-Brodeur, 2006

"When workplaces become "work-tribes" that create nourishment for life and we learn how to partner with the Universe, our creativity and productivity will accelerate exponentially, and we'll all live in a truly abundant Universe." -- Madeline G-B